计及输入变量强相关性的概率潮流计算模型

利用统计学的方法,以风电场出力为例,对其大量历史数据进行相关性分析,将具有强相关性的随机变量用最小二乘进行线性拟合,并用其中一个变量的线性表达式表示,从而消去随机变量之间的强相关性,并认为余下的呈弱相关或不相关的随机变量之间相互独立,以便采用半不变量法计算概率潮流。     

模糊微分方程的渐近稳定性

考虑了模糊微分方程u′＝f（ t,u）,利用李雅普诺夫函数的方法得到了方程平凡解渐近稳定的一个充分条件。     

Fisher方程的行波解

通过行波变换将Fisher方程转变为复域中的常微分方程,给出复化的Fisher方程wu’-ακ^2u^u-β（u-u^2）=0的亚纯解结构．     

Stress analytical solution for plane problem of a double-layered thick-walled cylinder subjected to a type of non-uniform distributed pressure

The stress state around circular openings,such as boreholes,shafts,and tunnels,is usually needed to be evaluated.Solutions for stresses,strains and ultimate bearing capacities of pressurized hollow cylinder are common cases.Stress analytical method for plane problem of a double-layered thick-walled cylinder subjected to a type of non-uniform pressure on the outer surface and uniform radial pressure on the inner surface is given.The power series method of complex function is used.The stress analytical solution is obtained with the assumption that two layers of a cylinder are fully contacted.The distributions of normal and tangential contact stress along the interface,tangential stress on the inner boundary and stresses in the radial direction at θ=0,45 and 90,are obtained.An example indicates that,when the elastic modulus of the inner layer of a double-layered thick-walled cylinder is smaller than that of the outer layer,the tangential stress is smaller than that in the corresponding point for a traditional cylinder composed of homogeneous materials.In that way,stress concentration at the inner surface can be alleviated and the stress distribution is more uniform.This is a capable way to enhance the elastic ultimate bearing capacity of thick-walled cylinder.     

Multi-objective optimization of rolling schedule based on cost function for tandem cold mill

In terms of tandem cold mill productivity and product quality, a multi-objective optimization model of rolling schedule based on cost fimction was proposed to determine the stand reductions, inter-stand tensions and rolling speeds for a specified product. The proposed schedule optimization model consists of several single cost fi.mctions, which take rolling force, motor power, inter-stand tension and stand reduction into consideration. The cost function, which can evaluate how far the rolling parameters are from the ideal values, was minimized using the Nelder-Mead simplex method. The proposed rolling schedule optimization method has been applied successfully to the 5-stand tandem cold mill in Tangsteel, and the results from a case study show that the proposed method is superior to those based on empirical formulae.     

Probabilistic analysis of random contact force between geomembrane and granular material

A probabilistic method based on principle of maximum entropy was employed to analyze the randomness of contact force between geomembrane and granular material. The contact force distribution is exponential according to the proposed method and the grain size is the most important factor that affects the distribution of contact force. The proposed method is then verified by a series of laboratory experiments using glass beads and cobbles as granular material and a very thin pressure, indicating that film is firstly used in these experiments which give a reliable method to measure the contact force at each contact point.     

An analysis method for correlation between catenary irregularities and pantograph-catenary contact force

Pantograph-catenary contact force provides the main basis for evaluation of current quality collection; however, the pantograph-catenary contact force is largely affected by the catenary irregularities. To analyze the correlated relationship between catenary irregularities and pantograph-catenary contact force, a method based on nonlinear auto-regressive with exogenous input （NARX） neural networks was developed. First, to collect the test data of catenary irregularities and contact force, the pantograph/catenary dynamics model was established and dynamic simulation was conducted using MATLAB/Simulink. Second, catenary irregularities were used as the input to NARX neural network and the contact force was determined as output of the NARX neural network, in which the neural network was trained by an improved training mechanism based on the regularization algorithm. The simulation results show that the testing error and correlation coefficient are 0.1100 and 0.8029, respectively, and the prediction accuracy is satisfactory. And the comparisons with other algorithms indicate the validity and superiority of the proposed approach.     

Dynamic cluster member selection method for multi-target tracking in wireless sensor network简

Multi-target tracking（MTT） is a research hotspot of wireless sensor networks at present.A self-organized dynamic cluster task allocation scheme is used to implement collaborative task allocation for MTT in WSN and a special cluster member（CM） node selection method is put forward in the scheme.An energy efficiency model was proposed under consideration of both energy consumption and remaining energy balance in the network.A tracking accuracy model based on area-sum principle was also presented through analyzing the localization accuracy of triangulation.Then,the two models mentioned above were combined to establish dynamic cluster member selection model for MTT where a comprehensive performance index function was designed to guide the CM node selection.This selection was fulfilled using genetic algorithm.Simulation results show that this method keeps both energy efficiency and tracking quality in optimal state,and also indicate the validity of genetic algorithm in implementing CM node selection.     

基于QFD方法的敏捷供应链设计

针对目前供应链设计尚无完整的理论和方法问题,本文将供应链设计和产品设计类比,采用质量功能展开方法,提出了一种敏捷供应链设计方法,给出了供应链设计的基本框架,并应用QFD方法将顾客需求转化为设计需求,同时结合AHP和0-1目标规划模型,确定敏捷供应链设计中重要的应优先配置的设计需求,并结合算例进行分析。分析结果表明,主导企业发现机遇的时间、机遇产品上市时间、供应商准时供货率等是实现敏捷供应链时需优先选择的设计需求。该设计系统化,易操作,为供应链设计的后续工作奠定了理论基础。     

非紧拓扑压函数的性质

文章主要研究了动力系统中非紧致集合上拓扑压函数的性质,及与紧致拓扑压之间的关系。